AI & Tech Prediction Markets

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.2M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.65% +1.5 pts

75/100

Market indicates low confidence in Alibaba having the best AI model by March 2026.

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.3M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.7% +1.5 pts

75/100

The market strongly favors Z.ai not having the best AI model by March 2026.

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.5M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.25% +1.5 pts

75/100

DeepSeek is unlikely to have the best AI model by March 2026.

Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $3.1M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.65% +1.5 pts

75/100

The market strongly favors that Baidu will not have the best AI model by March 2026.

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $2.6M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.65% +1.5 pts

90/100

Microsoft is unlikely to be the largest company by market cap on March 31.

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.8M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.3% +1.5 pts

80/100

Low probability for Apple to be largest by market cap on March 31.

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

0.35%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $450K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.3% +1.5 pts

80/100

Market indicates low probability of Microsoft being the largest company by market cap on June 30.

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.1%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.7M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.55% +1.5 pts

75/100

Market favors NO for OpenAI having the best AI model by March 2026.

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.05%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.3M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.7% +1.5 pts

75/100

The market strongly favors that xAI will not have the best AI model by March 2026.

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

0.15%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $1.2M

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 16% +1.5 pts

75/100

Market favors NO for Google having the best AI model by March 2026.

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?

2.4%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $155K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.9% +1.5 pts

70/100

Low probability for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 to launch by March 31.

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

0.45%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $474K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.95% +1.5 pts

80/100

Amazon is unlikely to be the largest company by market cap on June 30.

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

20%

Market YES

80%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $18K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.5% +1.5 pts

75/100

The market indicates a low likelihood of Anthropic making a deal with the Pentagon.

Anthropic CEO arrested?

4.15%

Market YES

96%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $106K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.65% +1.5 pts

75/100

Market indicates a low probability of the Anthropic CEO being arrested.

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 9?

52%

Market YES

48%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $4K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 50.5% -1.5 pts

60/100

Market indicates a close call on Google's stock movement on March 9.

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

60.5%

Market YES

40%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $710K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 53% +1.5 pts

75/100

The market shows a close probability for a new Playboi Carti album release before GTA VI.

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

66%

Market YES

34%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $675K

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 55% +1.5 pts

75/100

Market leans slightly towards a new Rihanna album releasing before GTA VI.

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

50.5%

Market YES

50%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $566K

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 49% -1.5 pts

55/100

Market shows a near-even split on John Ternus becoming Apple's next CEO.

Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?

2%

Market YES

98%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $491K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.5% +1.5 pts

75/100

Market indicates low probability for Gemini 3.5 release by March 31.

Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?

5.5%

Market YES

95%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $467K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7% +1.5 pts

75/100

Low probability for OpenAI's market cap to hit $1.25T-$1.5T at IPO close.

OKX IPO in 2026?

16%

Market YES

84%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $425K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 17.5% +1.5 pts

65/100

The market indicates a low probability for OKX's IPO in 2026.

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

0.3%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $285K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.8% +1.5 pts

75/100

Mistral is unlikely to have the best AI model by June 2026 according to market predictions.

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

0.3%

Market YES

100%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $411K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.85% +1.5 pts

80/100

The market strongly favors Tesla not being the largest company by market cap on June 30.

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

12.05%

Market YES

88%

Market NO

Polymarket

Vol $423K

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.75% +1.5 pts

80/100

Market indicates low probability for Apple to be largest by market cap on June 30.

🤖 AI & Tech Markets