Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
Market strongly favors NO for games total under 2.5.
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly favors AM Gaming to win by at least 1.5 points.
Will China invade Taiwan before 2028?
45.77%
Market YES
54%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44.77% Fair
45/100
Market leans towards no invasion of Taiwan by China before 2028.
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly favors Team Yandex to cover the handicap against PARI.
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for FLC vs Vici Gaming.
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Market strongly favors a NO outcome for Na`Vi vs Heroic.
Game Handicap: HEROIC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 85/100. Market appears fairly priced.
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $630K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
The market predicts no military clash between NATO and Russia in 2025.
Will China officially acknowledge its new sixth-gen tailless stealth fighter prototypes (J-36 / J-50) before 2027
49.79%
Market YES
50%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 48.79% Fair
55/100
China's acknowledgment of new stealth fighter prototypes is highly uncertain.
Will Google stick to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military by EOY 2026?
44%
Market YES
56%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 43% Fair
55/100
Market leans towards Google not aligning with Anthropic's military red lines by 2026.
China to announce cap on lead output by EOY 2026?
45.27%
Market YES
55%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44.17% Fair
50/100
Market shows a slight preference against China announcing a lead output cap by 2026.
Will Pakistan have a major civil war by the end of 2035?
41.6%
Market YES
58%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40.6% Fair
45/100
Market indicates a lower likelihood of major civil war in Pakistan by 2035.
Israel enters into a new war in 2026?
45%
Market YES
55%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44% Fair
50/100
Market indicates a higher likelihood of no new war for Israel in 2026.
Will China have 4 aircraft carriers by the end of 2027?
43.78%
Market YES
56%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42.78% Fair
45/100
Market leans towards China not having 4 aircraft carriers by 2027.
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the game handicap.
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