Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will India strike Pakistan by Dec 31?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $208K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market indicates no expectation of India striking Pakistan by the end of the year.
Will India strike Pakistan by November 14?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $105K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly predicts that India will not strike Pakistan by November 14.
Will India strike Pakistan by November 30?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $66K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly predicts no strike by India on Pakistan by November 30.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 17°C or below on March 26?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly favors temperatures above 17°C in Taipei on March 26.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 18°C on March 26?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 18°C in Taipei on March 26.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on March 26?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly predicts Taipei's temperature won't reach 19°C on March 26.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 20°C on March 26?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 20°C in Taipei on March 26.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 26?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly predicts Taipei's temperature will not reach 21°C on March 26.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on March 26?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market strongly predicts Taipei's temperature will not reach 22°C on March 26.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 26?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
85/100
The market predicts the highest temperature in Taipei will not reach 23°C on March 26.
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vexar (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
The market strongly favors Vexar to outperform BB by 1.5 points.
Will the US, Israel and/or one of the non-Iranian Gulf states occupy Larak Island (Iran) before June 1 2026?
43%
Market YES
57%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40.72% Fair
55/100
Market indicates a low likelihood of occupation of Larak Island by June 2026.
Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs ENCE Academy (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 80/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Map Handicap: UNO (-1.5) vs DashSkins (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 80/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Map Handicap: DS (-1.5) vs UNO MILLE (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for DS vs UNO MILLE.
Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?
42%
Market YES
58%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 41% Fair
40/100
Market leans towards no female walking on the Moon if China beats the USA.
Will "The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 2027 Academy Award
42.61%
Market YES
57%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 41.82% Fair
50/100
The market leans towards 'NO' for the documentary's nomination at the 2027 Oscars.
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
The market strongly favors Alliance to perform better than expected.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 80/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $36K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
The market strongly favors no games being played, with a 100% probability.
Map Handicap: JS (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 80/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
Market strongly favors Johnny Speeds to win with a +1.5 handicap.
Map Handicap: RE (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
80/100
The market strongly favors Bebop to outperform RE in this geopolitical context.
Will the ICJ determine that Russia committed genocide?
45.42%
Market YES
55%
Market NO
Manifold
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44.42% Fair
40/100
Market leans towards NO on Russia committing genocide per ICJ.
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