Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Peggy Flanagan and Graham Platner both elected senators in November 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 53.6% -9 pts

Market shows a higher probability for Flanagan and Platner's election than AI predictions suggest.

Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43.45% -9 pts

Market favors China landing on the Moon first, but AI suggests otherwise.

Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 52% -9 pts

Market shows a 61% chance Powell will say 'War' at the March press conference.

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44.05% -9 pts

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 50/100. NO side may be undervalued.

Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 41.5% -9 pts

Market sentiment leans slightly towards a NO outcome for the P2P Protocol public sale.

On the 12th anniversary of the Russian annexation of Crimea, will the Russia-Ukraine war still be ongoing?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 87.04% -9 pts

High probability indicates the Russia-Ukraine war is likely ongoing by Crimea's annexation anniversa

Will Israel become more authoritarian in 2025?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 69.66% -9 pts

Market indicates a high probability of increased authoritarianism in Israel by 2025.

Will GTA 6 win GOTY (Game Awards)?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42.9% -9 pts

GTA 6 has a slight edge to win GOTY, but AI predictions suggest otherwise.

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 54% -9 pts

Market shows a 63% chance of China's success in a Taiwan invasion.

Will China ever surpass US gdp?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 47% -9 pts

Market shows a slight edge for China surpassing US GDP, but opinions are closely divided.

Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 70.73% -9 pts

Market suggests high probability Putin will remain in power after the war.

Will AI be a bigger political issue than China by the end of 2028?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 61.53% -9 pts

AI is expected to be a larger political issue than China by 2028.

Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2029?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 55.1% -9 pts

Market predicts a 64.1% chance of software engineer salary decline due to AI by 2029.

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 81% -9 pts

High probability suggests Putin will remain leader of Russia through 2026.

Will China land men on the moon before the USA?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43.45% -9 pts

Market leans slightly towards China landing on the moon first, but AI suggests otherwise.

Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 45.15% -9 pts

The market shows a slight preference for growth in software engineer employment through 2029.

Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 57.5% -9 pts

Market suggests a high likelihood of Powell mentioning 'Iran' in the upcoming press conference.

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 48.13% -9 pts

The market shows mixed expectations on UK acceptance of the Fingleton nuclear review recommendations

Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 75.5% -9 pts

High probability of Caesars Entertainment being acquired before 2027.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43% -7.5 pts

The market leans slightly towards fewer than 2.5 games, with a notable undervaluation of the NO side

Games Total: O/U 2.5

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 47% -7.5 pts

The market for total games is closely contested with a slight lean towards over 2.5 games.

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 74.15% -7.5 pts

High probability suggests strong sentiment for Hezbollah's military action against Israel on March 2

Map Handicap: TLR (-1.5) vs Pigeons (+1.5)

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 73% -7.5 pts

The market favors TLR to win by 1.5 points, but the NO side seems undervalued.

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 90.9% -7.5 pts

Market strongly favors a high of 24°C in Taipei on March 23.

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