Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Iran strike Germany by March 31?
0.5%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +2 pts
75/100
The market indicates a low probability of Iran striking Germany by March 31.
Will Iran strike Poland by March 31?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $282K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.7% +2 pts
70/100
The market strongly favors that Iran will not strike Poland by March 31.
Will Iran strike Italy by March 31?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.3% +2 pts
75/100
The market indicates a low probability of Iran striking Italy by March 31.
Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.65% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Iran will not strike Hungary by March 31.
Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.9% +2 pts
70/100
The market indicates a low probability of Iran striking Ukraine by March 31.
Will Iran strike Armenia by March 31?
1.6%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.6% +2 pts
65/100
The market indicates a low probability of Iran striking Armenia by March 31.
Will Iran strike Georgia by March 31?
1.25%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.1% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability of Iran striking Georgia by March 31, with market favoring a NO outcome.
Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $52K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.15% +2 pts
70/100
Low probability of Iran striking the UK by March 31, with market leaning towards NO.
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on March 23?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors temperatures below 32°C in Taipei on March 23.
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
21.5%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $121K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 23.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market indicates a low probability of China invading Taiwan by 2027.
Map Handicap: ASTRAL (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Map Handicap: Leo (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
60/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Map Handicap: CSDIILIT (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for CSDIILIT vs Rune Eaters.
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $187K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.15% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 60-79 tweets in the specified timeframe.
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.15% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not tweet 80-99 times in the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
6.85%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $170K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.65% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk to tweet 200-219 times in the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
14.85%
Market YES
85%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $185K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.05% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk to tweet 220-239 times from March 27 to April 3, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
15.55%
Market YES
84%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $152K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.25% +2 pts
75/100
Low likelihood of Musk tweeting 240-259 times in the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
21.5%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $146K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.5% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk to post 260-279 tweets in the specified timeframe.
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
13.5%
Market YES
87%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $117K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market favors fewer than 280 tweets from Musk during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
8.75%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $101K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 13.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market favors fewer than 300 tweets from Musk during the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $136K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.7% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability of Musk posting 460-479 tweets in the specified timeframe.
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $129K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.4% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk to post 480-499 tweets in the specified timeframe.
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $108K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.45% +2 pts
75/100
Market strongly favors fewer than 560 tweets from Musk during the specified period.
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