Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026?
0.8%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $39K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.1% +1.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the US will not strike 5 countries in 2026.
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
23.5%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 37% +1.5 pts
70/100
Market indicates a low likelihood of GitLab being acquired before 2027.
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
48.5%
Market YES
52%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $553K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47% +1.5 pts
65/100
Market shows a close split on the likelihood of Pizza Hut being acquired by 2027.
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
41.5%
Market YES
59%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $555K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21% +1.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a low probability of Ubisoft being acquired before 2027.
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
29%
Market YES
71%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $260K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29% +1.5 pts
65/100
Market favors no strike by India on Pakistan by end of 2026.
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?
1.95%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $380K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.65% -1.5 pts
85/100
Low probability for Zelenskyy to talk to Putin by March 31.
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $59M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Market indicates no expectation of US forces entering Iran by March 14.
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors NO for Musk posting 220-239 tweets in the specified period.
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market overwhelmingly predicts Musk will post 40 or more tweets during the specified dates.
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.05% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors that Reza Pahlavi will not enter Iran by March 31.
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Market expects Elon Musk will not post 240-259 tweets during the specified period.
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
The market strongly indicates the conflict will not end by March 15.
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $18.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors NO for Musk tweeting 260-279 times in early March 2026.
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Train Dreams is highly unlikely to win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards.
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $176K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.05% Fair
80/100
The market strongly favors Elon Musk posting fewer than 215 tweets during the specified period.
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.05% Fair
90/100
Bugonia has a very low chance of winning Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards.
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 360-379 tweets in the specified period.
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.6M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.05% Fair
95/100
The market strongly favors no invasion of Taiwan by China by March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
95/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 95/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $236K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.15% Fair
80/100
Market strongly favors fewer than 190 tweets from Musk during the specified dates.
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1% Fair
90/100
Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 90/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.25% Fair
90/100
Frankenstein is highly unlikely to win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards.
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% Fair
90/100
Marty Supreme is highly unlikely to win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards.
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