Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
16%
Market YES
84%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $105K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 17.5% +2 pts
80/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Russia entering Kramatorsk by June 30.
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $195K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.85% +2 pts
75/100
Frankenstein is unlikely to win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards.
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $162K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.35% +2 pts
80/100
Low probability for Project Hail Mary as top grossing movie of 2026.
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $118K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.35% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors 'NO' for Wuthering Heights being the top grossing movie of 2026.
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
4.85%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $76K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.85% +2 pts
70/100
Low probability of any country leaving NATO by June 2026.
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2.05%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $83K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.05% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that the movie will not be the top grosser in 2026.
Will Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $124K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.35% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors 'NO' for Sweet Dreams of Joy - Viva Verdi winning Best Original Song.
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
41%
Market YES
59%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $101K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38.5% +2 pts
75/100
The market indicates a lower likelihood of Spider-Man: Brand New Day being the top movie of 2026.
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
7.2%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $70K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.2% +2 pts
65/100
Low probability of NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by June 2026.
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $572K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
80/100
Market indicates no expectation of US forces entering Iran by January 31.
US forces enter Iran by February 28?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $421K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
80/100
Market indicates no expectation of US forces entering Iran by February 28.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $140K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by March 3, 2026.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market indicates no expectation of a new Iranian supreme leader by March 7, 2026.
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $294K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
90/100
The market strongly predicts Iran will not close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31.
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $444K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Iran will not name a successor to Khamenei by March 2.
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $620K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly predicts Iran will not name a successor to Khamenei by March 1.
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $774K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Iran will not name a successor to Khamenei by March 3.
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $764K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Iran will not name a successor to Khamenei by March 4.
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $766K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Iran will not name a successor to Khamenei by March 7.
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly predicts no Israeli strike on Gaza on March 3, 2026.
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no strike by Israel on Gaza on March 1, 2026.
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market indicates no expectation of an Israeli strike on Gaza on March 2, 2026.
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
90/100
The market strongly predicts no Israeli strike on Gaza on March 4, 2026.
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $656K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Wicked: For Good will not win Best Picture.
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