Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in March 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
90/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 240-259 tweets in March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.5M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.5% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability of Musk posting 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026.
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $730K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.65% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors no rate cuts by the Fed in 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.7M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market favors fewer than 300 tweets from Musk during the specified week.
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $94K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.3% +2 pts
65/100
The market strongly favors that the US will not seize an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 25, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $26K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Iran will not announce a new supreme leader on March 25, 2026.
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.45% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors no rate cuts in 2026, with low probabilities for yes.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 26, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $31K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by March 26, 2026.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 18, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market indicates no expectation for a new Iranian supreme leader by March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $355K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.45% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors Elon Musk posting fewer than 540 tweets next week.
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $506K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.2% +2 pts
75/100
Joachim Trier has a low chance of winning Best Director at the Oscars.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 21, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $19K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by March 21, 2026.
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
21.5%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $377K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 23.5% +2 pts
75/100
Market sees low probability for US recognizing Reza Pahlavi as Iran's leader by 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $393K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.95% +2 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 500-519 tweets during the specified week.
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $695K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.75% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk to post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 27, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $27K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by Iran on March 27, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $591K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.05% +2 pts
75/100
Market indicates a low likelihood of Musk posting 420-439 tweets in March 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in March 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.4M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2.05% +2 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors that Musk will not post 360-379 tweets in March 2026.
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
18%
Market YES
82%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 18% +2 pts
80/100
The market indicates a low probability of a China-Taiwan military clash before 2027.
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.5% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability for Musk posting 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 15, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $29K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors no announcement of a new supreme leader by March 15, 2026.
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 20, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $19K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market indicates no expectation for Iran to announce a new supreme leader by March 2026.
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.9M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 2% +2 pts
85/100
The market strongly predicts no Israeli strike on Gaza on March 5, 2026.
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.5% +2 pts
75/100
Low probability of Musk posting 340-359 tweets during the specified week.
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