Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?
0.45%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.95% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the next US-Iran meeting will not be in Russia.
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
12%
Market YES
88%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of France sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?
0.3%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $28K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the US-Iran meeting in Kazakhstan.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.8% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the next US-Iran meeting will not be in Italy.
Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs CSDIILIT (+1.5)
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 43% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market favors a NO outcome for BW vs CSDIILIT with a slight edge in probabilities.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
2.3%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.7% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the next US-Iran meeting will not be in Egypt.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?
0.5%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the next US-Iran meeting will not be in the U.S.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
9.3%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.05% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market indicates a low probability for the next US-Iran meeting to be in Turkey.
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
4.05%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 5.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability for Germany sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
8.5%
Market YES
92%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $100K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.2% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of the Netherlands sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by 2026.
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
5.05%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $77K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.25% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Greece sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
4.4%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $52K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 7.35% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Italy sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
5.2%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $182K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
Low probability of Japan sending warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.8% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the US-Iran meeting in Austria.
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
26.5%
Market YES
74%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $60K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 39.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a lower likelihood of U.S. warships in the Strait of Hormuz by April 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
4.2%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $15K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.75% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the US-Iran meeting in Switzerland.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
3.1%
Market YES
97%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.4% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the next US-Iran meeting being in Qatar.
Military action against Iran ends by March 30, 2026?
17.5%
Market YES
83%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of military action against Iran ending by March 30, 2026.
Military action against Iran ends by March 26, 2026?
13.5%
Market YES
87%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 17.5% +3.5 pts
60/100
Low probability of military action against Iran ending by March 2026.
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.85% +3.5 pts
60/100
The market strongly favors that the next US-Iran meeting will not be in Saudi Arabia.
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
19.5%
Market YES
81%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $25K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 26.5% +3.5 pts
65/100
Market indicates a low likelihood of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026.
Will India strike Pakistan by March 31?
1.15%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $81K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.65% +3.5 pts
65/100
The market indicates a low probability of India striking Pakistan by March 31.
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.4% +3.5 pts
60/100
Market favors Nemiga, indicating low confidence in NEM's performance.
Will "Ordinary - Alex Warren" be the Billboard #1 song for the week of April 4?
0.85%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.35% +3.5 pts
55/100
The market strongly favors 'NO' for Alex Warren's song being #1 on Billboard.
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