Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34% Fair

Pulse verdict: NO — confidence 60/100. Market appears fairly priced.

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34% Fair

Abdul El-Sayed has a 34% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary.

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 33.5% Fair

The market indicates a low probability for López Aliaga and Fujimori to advance.

Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.1% Fair

The market favors no different candidates advancing to the runoff.

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 31% Fair

Market suggests Republicans are likely to hold above 190 House seats in 2026.

Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 26.5% Fair

Market favors the Republican Party not holding 190-194 House seats in 2026.

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 41.5% Fair

Market leans towards Trump posting fewer than 80 Truth Social posts in the specified week.

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 38% Fair

Market favors fewer than 100 Truth Social posts from Trump next week.

Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 31.5% Fair

The Parti libéral du Québec has a 31.5% chance of winning the most seats in 2026.

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on April 3, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 41.5% Fair

Market favors Trump's approval rating to be below 40.4% on April 3, 2026.

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.5 and 39.9 on April 3, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 37% Fair

Market favors Trump's approval rating to be outside 39.5-39.9 on April 3, 2026.

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