Markets / Geopolitics

🌍 Geopolitics Markets

3,140 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30.5% +2 pts

Market indicates a low probability of a Fed rate cut in 2026.

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28.5% +2 pts

Market sees low probability for 2 Fed rate cuts in 2026.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.5% +2 pts

Market favors Ukraine not ceding territory to Russia before 2027.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 17.5% +2 pts

Low probability of a China-Japan military clash before 2027, with market sentiment leaning towards p

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.35% +2 pts

The market strongly favors no significant Fed rate cuts in 2026.

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 6.25% +2 pts

Low market probability for 4 Fed rate cuts in 2026 indicates skepticism.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8% +2 pts

Low market probability indicates skepticism about a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31.

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.95% +2 pts

The market strongly favors that Russia will not capture all of Kupiansk by March 31.

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 18.5% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Russia capturing Sumy by March 31, 2027.

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34.5% +2 pts

Market suggests low likelihood of an Iran coup attempt by June 30.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 41.5% +2 pts

Market leans towards no peace deal between Ukraine and Russia before 2027.

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7% +2 pts

Low likelihood of Ukraine recognizing Russian sovereignty by mid-2026.

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.5% +2 pts

Market indicates low probability of Russia capturing Vovchansk by March 31.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27% +2 pts

Market suggests a low probability of military clash between China and the Philippines before 2027.

Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5.05% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability for 'Michael' to be the top grossing movie of 2026.

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.5% +2 pts

Low probability of Russia capturing Sloviansk by June 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.

Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.5% +2 pts

Low probability for an Israel-Syria security agreement by March 31.

Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 5% +2 pts

The Odyssey is unlikely to be the top grossing movie of 2026.

Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.85% +2 pts

Dune: Messiah is unlikely to be the top grossing movie of 2026.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 11% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas by March 31, 2026.

Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 14.5% +2 pts

The market indicates a low probability for Avengers: Doomsday to be the top grossing movie of 2026.

Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.5% +2 pts

Low probability of Russia entering Sloviansk by June 30, with market favoring a NO outcome.

Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 7.2% +2 pts

Low probability for Russia to capture all of Prymorske by March 2026.

Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 2.25% +2 pts

The market strongly favors that Wicked: For Good will not be the top grossing movie of 2026.

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