Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Trump say "Nicki" or "Minaj" during Women's History Month event?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Nicki' or 'Minaj' at the event.
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
73.5%
Market YES
27%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $648K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 51.5% +1.5 pts
60/100
The market is evenly split on a US-Iran ceasefire by year-end.
Will Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
43.66%
Market YES
56%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 46.48% +1.5 pts
50/100
Market shows a near-even split on Trump's potential national emergency declaration.
Graham Platner and James Talarico both win their primaries and general elections?
40.36%
Market YES
60%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38.5% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market favors NO for Platner and Talarico winning their elections.
US strike on Colombia by January 31?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $668K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market indicates no likelihood of a US strike on Colombia by January 31.
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $59K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
Market predicts Trump will not post 60-79 times on Truth Social from March 6-13, 2026.
Netanyahu out by March 31?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $83.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.65% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market strongly favors Netanyahu remaining in office until at least March 31.
Conditional on Trump being elected president in 2024, will a Republican also be elected in 2028?
39.92%
Market YES
60%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40.36% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market favors a Democrat win in 2028 if Trump wins in 2024.
Spread: Atlético Nacional (-1.5)
99.95%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $578K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.5% +1.5 pts
60/100
The market on Atlético Nacional is closely contested with a slight edge for NO.
Spread: Llaneros FC (-1.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
80/100
Market strongly favors NO for Llaneros FC to cover the spread.
Spread: Atlético Nacional (-2.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Atlético Nacional at -2.5.
Spread: Llaneros FC (-2.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Llaneros FC at -2.5 spread.
Atlético Nacional vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 2.5
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors under 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Nacional and Llaneros FC.
Atlético Nacional vs. Llaneros FC: O/U 3.5
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors a low-scoring game between Atlético Nacional and Llaneros FC.
Atlético Nacional vs. Llaneros FC: Both Teams to Score
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market strongly favors that both teams will not score in the match.
Will Donald Trump die before Joe Biden?
32.41%
Market YES
68%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $37K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 34% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market favors Biden surviving Trump, with a 67.5% chance of NO.
Will Netanyahu win the next elections in Israel?
42.58%
Market YES
57%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 47.77% +1.5 pts
55/100
Netanyahu's chances in the next elections are closely contested with a slight edge for 'NO'.
Spread: Cúcuta Deportivo FC (-1.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Cúcuta Deportivo FC at -1.5 spread.
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. AD Cali: O/U 2.5
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors under 2.5 goals in the match.
Cúcuta Deportivo FC vs. AD Cali: O/U 3.5
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors a low-scoring game between Cúcuta Deportivo FC and AD Cali.
Will Kamala Harris attempt to run again for the 2028 election?
40.09%
Market YES
60%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $19K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 41.59% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market leans towards Kamala Harris not running for 2028.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel before the Israel–Hamas war ends?
53.04%
Market YES
47%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $44K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.04% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market shows a near-even split on Netanyahu's future as Prime Minister before the war ends.
[ACX 2026] Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be Prime Minister of Israel during 2026?
42.07%
Market YES
58%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 50.56% +1.5 pts
55/100
The market shows a near-even split on Netanyahu's future as Prime Minister in 2026.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?
50%
Market YES
50%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.56% +1.5 pts
55/100
Netanyahu's chances of remaining Prime Minister are nearly evenly split.
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