Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Trump say "IVF" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market strongly predicts Trump will not say 'IVF' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market predicts Trump will not use 'MAGA' or 'Make America Great Again' in Ohio.
Will Trump say "UK" or "United Kingdom" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market indicates Trump is unlikely to say 'UK' during his Ohio visit.
Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
54%
Market YES
46%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.5% +1.5 pts
45/100
The AfD has a near-equal chance of becoming the biggest party in upcoming elections.
Will Trump say "Tanker" during Kentucky visit?
35%
Market YES
65%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 36.5% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests Trump is unlikely to say 'Tanker' during his Kentucky visit.
Will Trump say "Maduro" or "Delcy" during Kentucky visit?
6.95%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 27% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market favors Trump not mentioning 'Maduro' or 'Delcy' during his Kentucky visit.
Will Trump's remarks not air?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market overwhelmingly predicts that Trump's remarks will air.
Will Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during Kentucky visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors Trump not saying either term during his visit.
Will the party that wins the 2024 US presidential election win the 2028 presidential election
39.92%
Market YES
60%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40.52% +1.5 pts
45/100
The market suggests a higher likelihood that the 2024 winner won't win in 2028.
Starmer out in 2025?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.3M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market strongly favors Starmer remaining in position through 2025.
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
28.5%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $32K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 27% -1.5 pts
80/100
The market suggests a low likelihood of the SAVE Act becoming law by 2026.
Will Trump visit Venezuela in 2026?
22.89%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 24.5% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market suggests Trump is unlikely to visit Venezuela in 2026.
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?
36.88%
Market YES
63%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38.38% +1.5 pts
55/100
The market suggests a low probability for Scottish Labour to be the second largest party.
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
21.71%
Market YES
78%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $263K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 30.7% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market suggests low likelihood of a Ukraine ceasefire if Trump is elected.
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
35.75%
Market YES
64%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $47K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 35.54% +1.5 pts
50/100
Market suggests low probability of either Trump or Biden dying before January 2028.
If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)
10%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $42K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 41.5% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market leans towards the belief that the US may not remain a liberal democracy if Trump is elected.
Will JD Vance be the 48th (next) President?
30.18%
Market YES
70%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 31.68% +1.5 pts
45/100
JD Vance has a 30.18% chance of becoming the next President.
If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?
36.42%
Market YES
64%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $95K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 26.99% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market suggests low probability of recession if Trump wins before 2027.
Will Trump say "Angel" during Women's History Month event?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Angel' during the event.
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" or "Midnight Hammer" during Women's History Month event?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not use either phrase during the event.
Will Trump say "Kristi" or "Noem" during Women's History Month event?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'Kristi' or 'Noem' at the event.
Will Trump say "Good looking" during Women's History Month event?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $33K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Good looking' at the event.
Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during Women's History Month event?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 37% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market leans towards Trump not using 'Affordable' or 'Affordability'.
Will Trump say "IVF" during Women's History Month event?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'IVF' during the event.
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