Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1.95%
Market YES
98%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $525K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.7% +3 pts
80/100
Low probability for Elon Musk winning the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
0.6%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $576K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 4.45% +3 pts
75/100
The market strongly favors a Republican House and Democratic Senate in 2026.
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1.45%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $571K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.8% +3 pts
75/100
Low probability for Ahmed al-Sharaa to win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
6.5%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $386K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 9.5% +3 pts
80/100
Market shows low probability of Trump resigning by the end of 2026.
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
65/100
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan has a very low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.25% +3 pts
65/100
Mathilde Panot has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.1M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.25% +3 pts
75/100
Cho Eun-hee has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?
5.35%
Market YES
95%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $351K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.35% +3 pts
65/100
Low market probability suggests turnout will likely fall outside 60-65%.
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
9.25%
Market YES
91%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $404K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 14.7% +3 pts
75/100
Market indicates low probability of Zelenskyy winning the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $872K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
65/100
Ségolène Royal has a very low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $797K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
65/100
Michel Barnier has a very low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
29.5%
Market YES
71%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $405K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 16.5% +3 pts
65/100
Édouard Philippe has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
17.9%
Market YES
82%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $268K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 16.4% +3 pts
75/100
The market favors NO for New People gaining the most seats in the next election.
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.4%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $1.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
65/100
The market shows a low probability of François Asselineau winning the 2027 election.
Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3.8M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Pierre-Yves Bournazel is unlikely to win the Paris mayor election.
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $877K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
65/100
Yaël Braun-Pivet has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
10.5%
Market YES
90%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $731K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 12.5% +3 pts
75/100
James Fishback has a low chance of being the Republican nominee for Florida Governor.
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0.35%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $730K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Jeon Hyun-heui has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
7.5%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $305K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 11.5% +3 pts
65/100
Marine Le Pen has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $340K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
75/100
Kang Hoon-sik has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
6.55%
Market YES
93%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 8.5% +3 pts
75/100
The LDPR is unlikely to gain the most seats in the upcoming election.
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
0.15%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $688K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.3% +3 pts
75/100
Han Dong-hoon has a low chance of winning the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election.
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.25%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $964K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts
65/100
Low probability for Valérie Pécresse to win the 2027 French presidential election.
Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $208K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts
65/100
AV (Green Alliance) is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election.
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