Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
If protestors get shot by law enforcement during Trump's second term will his net approval rating go up?
31.26%
Market YES
69%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 32.7% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market favors no increase in Trump's approval if protestors are shot.
Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
38%
Market YES
62%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 39.5% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests Joe Biden has a 38% chance of dying before the 2028 election.
AI races: Will Alex Bores be the 2026 Democratic candidate for NY-12?
29.62%
Market YES
70%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.53% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market favors 'NO' for Alex Bores as the 2026 Democratic candidate for NY-12.
Will Graham Platner perform better than the Alaskan Democratic candidate for senate?
65.54%
Market YES
34%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 46.5% +1.5 pts
55/100
Graham Platner is slightly less favored than the Alaskan Democratic candidate for senate.
Will Joe Biden live a longer life than Trump?
41.17%
Market YES
59%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $94K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40.53% +1.5 pts
45/100
The market favors Trump living longer than Biden, with a 60.97% probability.
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
21.67%
Market YES
78%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $21K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.5% +1.5 pts
45/100
The market shows a low probability for Keir Starmer leading Labour into the next election.
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Presidential Election of the United States?
21.34%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 23.72% +1.5 pts
45/100
J.D. Vance has a low probability of winning the 2028 Presidential Election.
Will Biden die before end of hypothetical 2nd term?
33.32%
Market YES
67%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 38.15% +1.5 pts
50/100
Market suggests a low probability of Biden dying before a hypothetical second term ends.
Will Shawn Harris win the GA-14 special election?
4.2%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $83K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 6.05% +1.5 pts
80/100
Shawn Harris has a low chance of winning the GA-14 special election.
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
20.44%
Market YES
80%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $518K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.92% +1.5 pts
50/100
Market indicates low probability of Trump dying or becoming seriously ill before term ends.
Will Putin die before Trump?
26.93%
Market YES
73%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.45% +1.5 pts
50/100
Market favors Trump surviving longer than Putin with a 73% probability.
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Ohio visit?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Epic Fury' during Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Ayatollah' or 'Khamenei' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Hezbollah" or "Hamas" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Hezbollah' or 'Hamas' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Yemen" or "Houthi" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $12K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
Market predicts Trump will not mention 'Yemen' or 'Houthi' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
Market strongly predicts Trump will not say 'Bibi' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Red Sea" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors Trump not saying either term during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Kurd' or 'Kurdish' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Fat" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
Market indicates Trump is unlikely to say 'Fat' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "State of the Union" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market strongly predicts Trump will not say 'State of the Union' in Ohio.
Will Trump say "MAHA" or "Make America Healthy Again" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'MAHA' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Obamacare" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $17K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Obamacare' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market strongly predicts Trump will not say 'Space Force' during his Ohio visit.
Will Trump say "Ozempic" during Ohio visit?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Ozempic' during his Ohio visit.
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