Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Gavin Newsom be the Democratic party nominee for president in 2028?
25.57%
Market YES
74%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $41K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.47% +1.5 pts
45/100
Gavin Newsom has a 27% chance of being the Democratic nominee in 2028.
Will Bibi still be the prime minister of Israel in 2027?
47.67%
Market YES
52%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.17% +1.5 pts
55/100
Bibi's chances of remaining prime minister in 2027 are closely contested.
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.
32%
Market YES
68%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 33.5% +1.5 pts
50/100
Market indicates low probability of Zelenskyy leaving presidency before war ends.
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
0.2%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $227K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 37% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates a low probability of Sarah Knafo advancing in the election.
Will a major terrorist attack with over 100 casualties be committed against the US during Trump's current term?
30.5%
Market YES
70%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 32% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market indicates a low probability of a major terrorist attack during Trump's term.
Will Reform win the next UK election?
38%
Market YES
62%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $94K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 41.15% +1.5 pts
45/100
Reform has a 39.65% chance of winning the next UK election according to the market.
Will "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $19K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Epstein' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Trump" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $22K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Trump' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Ellison" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors that 'Ellison' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Ukraine' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Kylie" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Kylie' will not be said at the Oscars.
Will "Elon" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Elon' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Shame" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors 'NO' for the term 'Shame' being said at the Oscars.
Will "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Hottest' will not be said at the Oscars.
Will "Sex" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $16K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Sex' will not be said at the Oscars.
Will "Peace" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly predicts 'Peace' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Zionist" or "Zionism" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market predicts no mention of 'Zionist' or 'Zionism' at the Oscars.
Will "Middle East" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Middle East' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Greenland" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Greenland' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Ice Out" or "Fuck Ice" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that neither phrase will be said at the Oscars.
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Polymarket' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Dream Big" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors 'NO' for the phrase 'Dream Big' being said at the Oscars.
Will "Charlie Kirk" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that 'Charlie Kirk' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
Will "Anthropic" or "Claude" be said at the Oscars?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly predicts that 'Anthropic' or 'Claude' will not be mentioned at the Oscars.
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