Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $612K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly predicts no US strike on Venezuela by January 31.
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $499K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market strongly favors no US strike on Venezuela by January 17.
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $763K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
80/100
Market indicates no expectation of a US strike on Venezuela by January 10.
SCREEN Act passes during 119th Congress?
42.78%
Market YES
57%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44.28% +1.5 pts
55/100
The market suggests a lower likelihood of the SCREEN Act passing in the 119th Congress.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
32%
Market YES
68%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 33.5% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market favors a NO outcome for US inflation reaching 6% before 2028 elections.
Will pro-independence parties win a majority of seats at the 2026 Welsh election?
38.81%
Market YES
61%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 35.83% +1.5 pts
55/100
Pro-independence parties have a 34.33% chance of winning a majority in the 2026 Welsh election.
Will Clarence Thomas's replacement be appointed by a Democratic president?
27.62%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29.12% +1.5 pts
45/100
The market favors a Republican president appointing Clarence Thomas's replacement.
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'Friend of mine' with the Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market expects Trump will not mention 'Stock Market' with Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $34K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Epic Fury' with high certainty.
Will Trump say "Hiroshima" or "Nagasaki" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not mention Hiroshima or Nagasaki with the Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market predicts Trump will not say 'Hottest' during events with the Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "Tanker" or "Ship" or "Boat" 5+ times during events with Japanese PM?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market strongly favors Trump not using 'Tanker', 'Ship', or 'Boat' 5+ times.
Will Trump say "Kharg Island" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not mention 'Kharg Island' with the Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "Toyota" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Toyota' during events with the Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "Decimate" or "Decimated" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Trump will not use 'Decimate' or 'Decimated' with the Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "Kamikaze" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'Kamikaze' during events with the Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "US Steel" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'US Steel' during events with the Japanese PM.
Will Trump say "Emperor" or 'King" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not use 'Emperor' or 'King' in events with Japan's PM.
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Japanese PM?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $19K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not mention 'AI' or 'Artificial Intelligence' with the Japanese PM.
Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?
28%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29.5% +1.5 pts
55/100
Dan Osborn has a low chance of being elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026.
Biden ranked below Carter in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey
47%
Market YES
53%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $18K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 46.11% +1.5 pts
55/100
Biden's ranking below Carter in a future survey is closely contested.
Will Trump say "Excursion" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will not say 'Excursion' during the trophy presentati
Will Trump say "B-2" during trophy presentation?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors Trump not saying 'B-2' during the trophy presentation.
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