Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Ayatollah" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not use 'Khamenei' or 'Ayatollah' during presentation.
Will Trump say "Cookie" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Cookie' during the trophy presentation.
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $14K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not mention 'Crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the trophy presentation.
Will Trump say "Ballroom" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Ballroom' during the trophy presentation.
Will Trump say "Fight Fight Fight" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market overwhelmingly predicts Trump will not say 'Fight Fight Fight'.
Will Trump say "Messi" or "Ronaldo" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market expects Trump to avoid mentioning Messi or Ronaldo during the trophy presentation.
Will Trump say "Gold" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Gold' during the trophy presentation.
Will Trump say "Rebuild" during trophy presentation?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'Rebuild' during the trophy presentation.
Will Trump's remarks not air?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $32K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market overwhelmingly predicts that Trump's remarks will air.
Will voter turnout at the March 22-23, 2026 constitutional referendum exceed 45% of eligible voters and vote 'yes' win?
30.62%
Market YES
69%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 30.06% +1.5 pts
55/100
Voter turnout at the referendum is unlikely to exceed 45%, with a strong NO sentiment.
Will JD Vance ever be president?
41.15%
Market YES
59%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $8K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42.55% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests JD Vance has a low chance of becoming president.
what will be the result of the Italian constitutional referendum on March 22nd-23rd?
6.39%
Market YES
94%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29.99% +1.5 pts
55/100
The market favors a NO outcome in the Italian constitutional referendum.
Kim Jing Un is big boss and Kamala wins, or he's out and Trump wins, judgment by mid 2029
22.74%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 24.24% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market favors a Trump win over Kim Jong Un's continued leadership by mid-2029.
Will Tucker Carlson run for President between now and the 2036 election (inclusive)?
36.21%
Market YES
64%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 37.71% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Tucker Carlson running for President by 2036.
Will Restore Britain win any seats at the next UK general election?
47.52%
Market YES
52%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.02% +1.5 pts
45/100
The market shows a nearly even split on Restore Britain's chances of winning seats.
Will the Democratic Party Nominee for 2028 be a woman?
23.15%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $13K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 24.65% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests low probability of a woman being the Democratic nominee in 2028.
Will Trump outlive Xi?
20.02%
Market YES
80%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 21.52% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market favors Xi outliving Trump with a 79.98% probability.
Will the next president of France be from a left-wing party
24.04%
Market YES
76%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29.86% +1.5 pts
55/100
The market suggests a low chance of a left-wing president in France.
Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?
18.44%
Market YES
82%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 22.44% +1.5 pts
45/100
Low probability for a Parti Socialiste candidate to win the next French presidency.
Will Trump say "Oil" during Memphis Roundtable?
23%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 24.5% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market leans towards Trump not saying 'Oil' at the Memphis Roundtable.
Will Trump say "NATO" during Memphis Roundtable?
21.5%
Market YES
79%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 23% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Trump mentioning NATO at the Memphis Roundtable.
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
48%
Market YES
52%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.5% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market shows a near-even split on whether Trump will say 'Biden' or 'Obama' 7+ times.
Will Trump say "Thousand" or "Hundred" 25+ times during Memphis Roundtable?
27%
Market YES
73%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 28.5% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market favors Trump saying 'Hundred' over 'Thousand' at the Memphis Roundtable.
Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" or "Obliterating" or "Obliterate" during Memphis Roundtable?
25%
Market YES
75%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 26.5% +1.5 pts
60/100
Market indicates a low probability of Trump using 'Obliterated' during the Memphis Roundtable.
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