Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Donald Trump tweet an image of himself as Jesus Christ?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.04% +1.5 pts

Market suggests low likelihood of Trump tweeting as Jesus Christ.

Will Susan Collins win re-election to Maine's Senate seat in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29.79% +1.5 pts

Susan Collins has a low probability of winning re-election in 2026.

Next Canadian federal election by April 30th, 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.72% +1.5 pts

The market predicts a low probability of a Canadian federal election by April 2027.

Will Trump say "Medal of Honor" this week? (March 22)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42% +1.5 pts

Market leans towards Trump not saying 'Medal of Honor' this week.

Will Trump say "Affair" this week? (March 22)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 35.5% +1.5 pts

The market indicates a higher likelihood of Trump not saying 'Affair' this week.

Will Trump say "What's Up" this week? (March 22)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 35% +1.5 pts

Market leans towards Trump not saying 'What's Up' this week.

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 22)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30.5% +1.5 pts

Market favors Trump not mentioning 'Crypto' or 'Bitcoin' this week.

Will Trump say "Khamenei" this week? (March 22)

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 50% +1.5 pts

Market is evenly split on whether Trump will say 'Khamenei' this week.

Will JD Vance become President during Trump’s second term?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.81% +1.5 pts

JD Vance has a low probability of becoming President during Trump's second term.

Cori Bush wins 2026 MO-01 Democratic Primary?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 35.09% +1.5 pts

Cori Bush has a 33.59% chance to win the 2026 MO-01 Democratic Primary.

The first female US president will be Republican

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 47.49% +1.5 pts

The market shows a near split on the likelihood of a Republican female US president.

Will Saikat Chakrabarti be elected to Congress in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22.36% +1.5 pts

Low probability of Saikat Chakrabarti being elected to Congress in 2026.

Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump Cabinet this year?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 47.5% +1.5 pts

Market shows a close split on whether Tulsi Gabbard will leave the Trump Cabinet this year.

If Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms, will they also win the Senate?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 45.81% +1.5 pts

Market shows a close contest on Democrats winning both chambers in 2026.

Will Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Taoiseach events?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 33% +1.5 pts

Market suggests Trump is unlikely to say 'Tariff' 5+ times at Taoiseach events.

Will Trump say "New York" during Taoiseach events?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 35% +1.5 pts

Market favors Trump not saying 'New York' at Taoiseach events.

Will Trump say "Ballroom" or "Arch" during Taoiseach events?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29.5% +1.5 pts

Market favors Trump not saying 'Ballroom' or 'Arch' at Taoiseach events.

Will Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.94% +1.5 pts

Market indicates low likelihood of Trump declaring Martial Law before 2029.

Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts

Raja Krishnamoorthi is highly unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois.

Will Oliver Larkin win the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.5% +1.5 pts

Oliver Larkin has a low chance of winning the Florida 23rd Democratic Primary.

Will SCOTUS rule in favor of Trump in Trump v. Cook?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 37.63% +1.5 pts

Market favors a NO ruling from SCOTUS in Trump v. Cook.

Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts

Kate Abughazaleh is highly unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for IL-09.

Will Laura Fine be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts

Laura Fine is highly unlikely to be the Democratic nominee for IL-09.

Trump attempts to overstay his 2 terms

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 25.95% +1.5 pts

Market suggests low likelihood of Trump overstaying his terms.

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