Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Will Democrats regain control of the Senate in 2026?
47.6%
Market YES
52%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 44.41% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market indicates a higher likelihood of Republicans retaining Senate control in 2026.
Will Trump visit China by October 31?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $549K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly predicts Trump will not visit China by October 31.
Will Orban (Fidesz) win the Hungarian Election on April 12th?
30.41%
Market YES
70%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $9K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29.27% +1.5 pts
55/100
Orban's chances of winning the election are currently low according to market data.
Is 2022-2024 The Last Time This Decade Democrats Will Control The Senate?
29.55%
Market YES
70%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 32.54% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests Democrats will likely control the Senate beyond 2024.
Will Viktor Orban remain Hungary's prime minister after the 2026 elections?
32.84%
Market YES
67%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $29K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 32.3% +1.5 pts
55/100
The market suggests a low probability of Orban remaining prime minister after 2026.
If James Talarico is the Democratic nominee, will he win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
39.48%
Market YES
61%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 35.07% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market indicates a higher chance of Talarico losing the Texas Senate race in 2026.
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in March?
100%
Market YES
0%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $30K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market is nearly evenly split on whether Trump will talk to von der Leyen in March.
Will Trump talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in March?
3.65%
Market YES
96%
Market NO
Polymarket
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 36% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market suggests Trump is unlikely to talk to Ahmed al-Sharaa in March.
Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election?
43.47%
Market YES
57%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 32.92% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Sen. Fetterman leaving the Democratic Party before 2028.
Will Trump say "Save Act" or "Save America Act" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
90/100
The market strongly favors Trump not saying either phrase this week.
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Peanut' this week with high confidence.
Will Trump say "IQ" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market strongly predicts Trump will not say 'IQ' this week.
Will Trump say "Insider" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'Insider' this week.
Will Trump say "G20" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will not say 'G20' this week.
Will Trump say "Hang" or "Hanging" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market predicts Trump will not say 'Hang' or 'Hanging' this week.
Will Trump say "Witch hunt" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market predicts Trump will not say 'Witch hunt' this week.
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will not say 'Transgender' this week.
Will Trump say "BRICS" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market shows a strong consensus that Trump will not say 'BRICS' this week.
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market indicates Trump is unlikely to say 'Make America Great Again' this week.
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
Market shows no expectation of Trump saying 'Tough Negotiator' this week.
Will Trump say "Black Plastic" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'Black Plastic' this week.
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 8)
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $10.2M
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
95/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Ayatollah' or 'Khamenei' this week.
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
0.9%
Market YES
99%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $379K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 51% +1.5 pts
60/100
Wolfgang Grozo's chances of winning are nearly even in the prediction market.
Will the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
28.33%
Market YES
72%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 29.83% +1.5 pts
45/100
The market indicates a low probability for the FDP to exceed 5% in the next election.
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