Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest
Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027
40.67%
Market YES
59%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $3K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 42.17% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests low probability of a major negative health revelation about Trump by mid-2027.
Will Trump say "Corn" during National Agriculture Day events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Corn' during National Agriculture Day events.
Will Trump say "Japan" during National Agriculture Day events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market predicts Trump will not say 'Japan' during National Agriculture Day events.
Will Trump say "Deficit" during National Agriculture Day events?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
Market strongly predicts Trump will not say 'Deficit' at the events.
Will Trump visit Russia during his term?
34.43%
Market YES
66%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $121K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 36.01% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests low likelihood of Trump visiting Russia during his term.
Will Trump's remarks not air?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
80/100
The market overwhelmingly expects Trump's remarks to air.
Conditional on Trump running for a third term, will he win?
17%
Market YES
83%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $7K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 24.5% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests Trump is unlikely to win if he runs for a third term.
If Trump unambiguously causes a recession during his term, will it affect his popularity among the MAGAs?
39.28%
Market YES
61%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40.78% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market suggests Trump's recession impact on MAGA popularity is unlikely.
Biden ranked below W Bush in next C-SPAN Presidential Historians Survey
23.74%
Market YES
76%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $5K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 25.24% +1.5 pts
55/100
Market suggests Biden will rank higher than W Bush in the next C-SPAN survey.
Will Switzerland pass the referendum 'No to a 10 Million Switzerland'?
25.04%
Market YES
75%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 26.54% +1.5 pts
55/100
The market favors a NO outcome for the Swiss referendum on limiting population growth.
Will Donald Trump attempt to suspend, delay, or reschedule the 2028 elections?
22.67%
Market YES
77%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $20K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 25.5% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market indicates low probability of Trump attempting to alter the 2028 elections.
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times at the rally on Saturday?
0%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $11K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors that Bernie Sanders will not say 'Trump' 15 or more times.
Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028
47.13%
Market YES
53%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $1K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 48.63% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market shows near equal probability for evidence of Trump's dementia by 2028.
Will Donald Trump be ranked as the worst US President by the end of his second term according to CSPAN's Survey?
48%
Market YES
52%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $19K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 49.5% +1.5 pts
45/100
Market shows a near split on Trump being ranked worst president by CSPAN.
Will the US have an Asian president by 2041?
48.51%
Market YES
51%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 48.07% +1.5 pts
50/100
The market shows a near-even split on the likelihood of an Asian president by 2041.
Spread: Llaneros FC (-2.5)
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Llaneros FC at -2.5.
Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas: O/U 4.5
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $4K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts
85/100
The market strongly favors a NO outcome for over 4.5 goals.
Llaneros FC vs. Once Caldas: O/U 2.5
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $104K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 48% +1.5 pts
60/100
The market shows a close probability for over/under 2.5 goals in the match.
Will another US president be killed before 2060?
38.88%
Market YES
61%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 40.38% +1.5 pts
50/100
Market suggests a lower likelihood of a US president being killed before 2060.
Democrats win Alaska, Maine, Ohio and North Carolina for US Senate?
34%
Market YES
66%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $6K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 35.5% +1.5 pts
55/100
The market favors a NO outcome for Democrats winning these Senate seats.
Will a US President (or Presidential Task Force) confirm an extraterrestrial or non-human intelligence by 2030?
44%
Market YES
56%
Market NO
Manifold
Vol $2K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 45.5% +1.5 pts
50/100
Pulse verdict: uncertain — confidence 50/100. Market appears fairly priced.
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
51%
Market YES
49%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $361K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 53.5% Fair
75/100
Market shows a slight lean towards Díaz-Canel leaving by June 30.
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $446K
⚡ Pulse Score
NO AI: 36.5% Fair
60/100
Market favors NO for SPD winning most seats in 2026 elections.
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
0.05%
Market YES
100%
Market NO
Polymarket
Vol $65K
⚡ Pulse Score
~ AI: 45.1% Fair
65/100
Market shows a close split on Trump posting over 200 Truth Social posts in early March 2026.
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