Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Nicole Shanahan has a very low chance of winning the California Governor Election in 2026.

Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market indicates a strong belief that Miguel Uribe Turbay will not win the 2026 election.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

Market strongly indicates no end to military operations against Iran by March 1st.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

Market predicts no announcement of military operations end by March 2nd.

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

Market overwhelmingly predicts Trump will not announce an end to military operations against Iran.

Will Malena Adrada be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

Malena Adrada has a very low probability of becoming the next mayor of Toulouse.

Will François Piquemal be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

François Piquemal is highly unlikely to become the next mayor of Toulouse.

Will Arthur Cottrel be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

Arthur Cottrel is highly unlikely to be the next mayor of Toulouse.

US strike on Cuba by January 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market strongly favors no US strike on Cuba by January 31.

Will Green Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

The market strongly favors the NO outcome for Green Alliance winning most seats.

Will La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

La U is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 election.

Will MIRA‑CJL win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

MIRA-CJL is unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 election.

Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

FW is highly unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 elections.

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

Linke is highly unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 elections.

Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 15)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'Peanut' this week.

Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week? (March 15)

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 53.5% -3 pts

Market shows a slight inclination towards Trump saying Obama's full name this week.

Will Trump say "Kennedy" this week? (March 15)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market shows a strong belief that Trump will not say 'Kennedy' this week.

Will Madhav Kumar Nepal be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

Madhav Kumar Nepal is highly unlikely to become the next Prime Minister of Nepal.

Will Kulman Ghising be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Kulman Ghising has a very low probability of becoming Nepal's next Prime Minister.

Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Harka Sampang has a very low chance of becoming the next Prime Minister of Nepal.

Will Sushila Karki be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.2% +3 pts

Low probability for Sushila Karki as next Prime Minister of Nepal.

Will the DHS shutdown end before February 16, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market strongly predicts no DHS shutdown before February 16, 2026.

Will the DHS shutdown end between February 16-19, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market strongly predicts the DHS shutdown will not end between February 16-19, 2026.

Will the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market strongly favors a DHS shutdown that will not end between February 20-23, 2026.

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