Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 32% Fair

Charles McCall has a 32% chance of winning the GOP primary for Oklahoma Governor.

Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 48.5% Fair

The market shows a nearly even split on Moudenc's chances in the 2026 election.

Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 41% Fair

Market indicates a lower chance for François Briançon to be mayor of Toulouse in 2026.

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 48.5% Fair

Karen Bass's chances in the 2026 mayoral election are nearly even.

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34% Fair

Nithya Raman has a 34% chance of winning the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election.

Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 39.5% Fair

The market suggests Tisza is unlikely to win by 9% or more in the 2026 election.

Will La Shawn Ford be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.5% Fair

La Shawn Ford has a low chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-07.

Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 45% Fair

Jesse Jackson Jr. has a 45% chance to be the Democratic nominee for IL-02.

Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 45% Fair

Donna Miller has a 45% chance of being the Democratic nominee for IL-02.

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 45% Fair

Market indicates a 55% chance of no strike impacting Kyiv during the specified week.

Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30% Fair

Kim Dong-yeon has a 30% chance of winning the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election.

Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 44.5% Fair

The market indicates a higher likelihood of CDU not securing the second most seats.

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 25% Fair

Ulf Kristersson has a low chance of becoming the next Prime Minister of Sweden.

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20.5% Fair

Market suggests a strong likelihood the GOP will hold more than 47 Senate seats post-2026.

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 38.5% Fair

Robert Golob has a 38.5% chance of becoming Slovenia's next Prime Minister.

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34.2% Fair

Market leans towards Trump posting fewer than 100 Truth Social posts next March.

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30.5% Fair

Market favors fewer than 120 Truth Social posts by Trump from March 10 to 17, 2026.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 24.3% Fair

Market indicates low probability of Netanyahu leaving leadership before 2027.

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20.5% Fair

Market suggests low likelihood of Díaz-Canel leaving leadership before 2027.

Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 38% Fair

The market suggests a 62% chance that Orbán will remain in power until 2027.

Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 27.5% Fair

Market indicates low probability of Bournazel advancing in the election.

Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 25.5% Fair

Jean-Michel Aulas has a low probability of winning the 2026 Lyon mayoral election.

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 26% Fair

Market indicates low probability for Maduro receiving a 60-year prison sentence.

Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 37% Fair

Luis Fernando Camacho has a 37% chance of winning the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election.

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