Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 19% -1.5 pts

Marco Rubio has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts

The market strongly favors NO for PLC winning the most seats in the 2026 Senate election.

Will Phạm Minh Chính be the next President of Vietnam?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.65% +1.5 pts

Phạm Minh Chính is highly unlikely to become the next President of Vietnam.

Will Trần Thanh Mẫn be the next President of Vietnam?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.65% +1.5 pts

Trần Thanh Mẫn has a low chance of becoming Vietnam's next President.

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34.5% -1.5 pts

The market indicates a low probability for Viktor Orbán to be the next Prime Minister of Hungary.

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43% -1.5 pts

Market suggests a low probability of a US strike on Cuba by year-end.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 47% -1.5 pts

Ivan Cepeda Castro's chances in the 2026 election are nearly even.

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30% -1.5 pts

Rachida Dati has a low chance of winning the Paris mayor election, with 31.5% probability.

Will Trump say "Toyota" this week? (March 8)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts

The market strongly favors that Trump will not say 'Toyota' this week.

Will Nguyễn Duy Ngọc be the next President of Vietnam?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.65% +1.5 pts

The market strongly favors 'NO' for Nguyễn Duy Ngọc as the next President of Vietnam.

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 17.1% +1.5 pts

Low probability of Miguel Díaz-Canel leaving leadership by March 31.

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21.3% -1.5 pts

Paloma Valencia has a low chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 37% -1.5 pts

Ken Paxton has a 38.5% chance of winning the 2026 Texas Republican Primary.

Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts

The market strongly favors SPD not winning the second most seats in 2026.

Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.65% +1.5 pts

Wesley Hunt is unlikely to win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary.

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42.5% -1.5 pts

The market favors a Republican majority in both Senate and House by a slight margin.

Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts

The market strongly favors the NO outcome for Conservative seats in 2026.

Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts

The market strongly favors NO for AfD winning second most seats in 2026 elections.

Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.55% +1.5 pts

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for PCC winning the most seats in 2026.

Will Trump post "Markwayne" or "Mullin" on Truth Social this week? (March 15)

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 39% +1.5 pts

Market leans towards Trump not posting 'Markwayne' or 'Mullin' this week.

Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.8% +1.5 pts

The market strongly favors NO for CD winning the most seats in 2026.

Will Salvación Nacional win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.5% +1.5 pts

Salvación Nacional is highly unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 Senate election.

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 35.5% -1.5 pts

Fidesz is currently projected to lose the most seats in the upcoming election.

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 53% -1.5 pts

The market shows a slight edge for Republican control of the Senate in 2026.

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