Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 48% -3 pts

Market shows a close probability on Díaz-Canel leaving office by June 30.

Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.65% +3 pts

The market indicates a low probability of Nigel Farage becoming Prime Minister in 2026.

Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.25% +3 pts

Low probability of Claudia Sheinbaum leaving office by June 30.

Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 9.5% +3 pts

Market shows low probability of Trump visiting Epstein's island.

Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Clémence Guetté has a low chance of winning the 2027 French presidential election.

Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for UML winning the most seats.

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.85% +3 pts

Low probability for Yvette Cooper as next UK Prime Minister in 2026.

Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.1% +3 pts

Low probability for Talarico winning by 0-5% in the primary.

Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.7% +3 pts

Market strongly favors NO for Talarico winning by 10-15%.

Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.5% +3 pts

The market strongly favors 'NO' for both candidates in the Texas Senate Election.

Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

The Democratic Coalition is unlikely to win the most seats in the upcoming election.

Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win less than 20 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.75% +3 pts

Market strongly favors CPN-UML winning 20 or more seats in 2026.

Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 8.5% +3 pts

Low odds suggest Umaro Sissoco Embaló is unlikely to win the 2025 presidential election.

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 55.5% -3 pts

CDU is favored to win the most seats in the 2026 elections with a 58.5% probability.

Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

Low probability for Robert Jenrick as next UK Prime Minister in 2026.

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 22% +3 pts

Market favors a NO on Trump's endorsement of Machado for Venezuela's presidency in 2026.

Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for ND winning seats in Slovenia's 2026 election.

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 4.05% +3 pts

The market strongly favors the Republican Party not holding exactly 54 Senate seats in 2026.

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

~ AI: 52.3% -3 pts

Market shows a slight lean towards Kristi Noem leaving before 2027.

Will the Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.15% +3 pts

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for the RKP in the 2026 local elections.

Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.05% +3 pts

Mi! is highly unlikely to win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian election.

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.45% +3 pts

Pete Hegseth has a low chance of winning the 2028 Republican nomination.

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market shows a strong belief that a US-Iran ceasefire will not occur by March 6.

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3% +3 pts

The market shows a strong consensus against a US-Iran ceasefire by March 2.

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