Markets / Politics

🗳️ Politics Markets

2,843 live markets · AI Pulse Scores on every one

⚡ Top Edge 🎯 High Confidence 💰 Most Volume 🆕 Newest

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28% Fair

Abelardo de la Espriella has a 28% chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 43.5% Fair

Market shows a 43.5% chance of Starmer leaving by June 30, 2026.

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 32% Fair

Market indicates a higher likelihood of Trump's approval rating staying down this week.

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 20.5% Fair

Market favors fewer than 180-199 posts by Trump during the specified week.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 30% Fair

The market indicates a low probability of the Court forcing Trump to refund tariffs.

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.95% Fair

Market indicates low probability of Starmer leaving by March 31, 2026.

Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 61.4% Fair

Market indicates a 61.4% chance the DHS shutdown will end after March 31, 2026.

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 67% Fair

Market predicts a 67% chance Starmer will leave by the end of 2026.

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 29% Fair

Naftali Bennett has a 29% chance of becoming the next Prime Minister of Israel.

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 38.5% Fair

Market shows a 38.5% chance of Netanyahu leaving by the end of 2026.

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28.5% Fair

Market indicates a high likelihood of turnout exceeding 55% in the 2025 Honduran election.

US strike on Colombia by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 3.55% Fair

The market shows a low probability of a US strike on Colombia by March 31.

Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

YES AI: 71.5% Fair

Gold is expected to perform best in 2026 with a high market probability of 71.5%.

Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 21% Fair

The market indicates low likelihood for Talarico and Paxton as candidates at 21%.

Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 42.5% Fair

Rafael López Aliaga has a 42.5% chance of winning the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.

Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 23.5% Fair

The market suggests a low likelihood of Ukraine elections by December 31, 2026.

Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 1.25% Fair

Market indicates a low probability of a US strike on Venezuela by March 31.

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 28.5% Fair

Market favors a NO on Trump declaring a national emergency over election interference.

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 40% Fair

The market suggests Kash Patel is likely to stay in the Trump administration until 2027.

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 10.5% Fair

The market indicates a low probability for the S&P 500 to outperform in 2026.

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 34% Fair

The market suggests a high likelihood of a new UK Prime Minister by 2026.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 37.5% Fair

Market indicates a low probability of Mitch McConnell stepping down before his term ends.

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

⚡ Pulse Score

NO AI: 38% Fair

Lebanese Forces have a 38% chance of winning the most seats in the 2026 election.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

⚡ Pulse Score

The market shows equal probabilities for a Liberal majority by June 30.

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